SATREPS Symposium on Simulation and Prediction of Climate Modes Influencing the Southern African Region

Date: March 17-18, 2011
Venue: The University of Tokyo (Sanjo Conference Hall & Science Building #1 Room 710)

March 17

(Sanjo Conference Hall)

Registration: 9:40-10:00

Opening Session (Chair: Tozuka)

10:00-10:10

Toshio Yamagata (JAMSTEC/University of Tokyo)

gOpening Addressh

10:10-10:30

Swadhin K. Behera (JAMSTEC)

gAn overview of South African climate variability and its predictabilityh

10:30-10:50

Hannes Rautenbach (University of Pretoria, South Africa)

gExtreme rainfall and flooding in South Africa during the 2010-2011 austral summer seasonh

Session 1: Downscaling (Chair: Rautenbach)

10:50-11:10

Keiko Takahashi (JAMSTEC)

gDownscaling simulations in South Africa with ultra high resolution MSSGh

11:10-11:30

Chris Lennard (University of Cape Town, South Africa)

gThe development of a seasonal attribution forecast for Africa and the worldh

11:30-11:50

Benjamin Pohl (CRC, France)

gSouthern African climate variability analyzed through statistical and numerical downscalingh

11:50-12:10

Discussions

12:10-12:20 Photo session

12:20-13:30 Lunch

Session 1 (continued): Downscaling (Chair: Rautenbach)

13:30-13:50

J. Venkata Ratnam (JAMSTEC)

gImpact of using a simple mixed layer ocean model in WRF on the simulation of climate over Southern Africah

13:50-14:10

Satyaban B. Ratna (JAMSTEC)

gSimulation of tropical temperate trough over southern Africa using WRF modelh

Session 2: Seasonal prediction (Chair: Masumoto)

14:10-14:30

Antonio Navarra (INGV, Italy)

gState of the art in long-range climate predictability and its applicabilityh

14:30-14:50

Jing-Jia Luo (JAMSTEC)

gPredictions of the ENSO/IOD and beyond using SINTEX-F1h

14:50-15:10

Simon Mason (IRI, USA)

gSeasonal prediction of heavy rainfall events over South Africah

15:10-15:30

Discussions

15:30-15:50 Coffee Break

Session 3: Climate variability around South Africa

(Chair: Mason)

15:50-16:10

Babatunde Abiodun (University of Cape Town, South Africa)

gHow well do GCMs and re-analyses capture the links between South African rainfall and global SSTsh

16:10-16:30

Mototaka Nakamura (JAMSTEC)

gImpacts of SST anomalies in the Agulhas Current System on the climate variations in the southern Africa and its vicinityh

16:30-16:50

Yushi Morioka (The University of Tokyo)

gGeneration mechanism of the subtropical dipole modes simulated in a coupled general circulation modelh

16:50-17:10

Takahito Kataoka (The University of Tokyo)

gThe Indian Ocean subtropical dipole mode simulated in the CMIP3 modelsh

17:10-17:30

Discussions

18:00-20:00 Reception (Restaurant in Sanjo Conference Hall)

March 18

(AM: Sanjo Conference Hall ; PM: Science Building #1 Room 710)

Session 4: Indian Ocean climate variability (Chair: Navarra)

9:50-10:10

Yukio Masumoto (JAMSTEC)

gDecadal variation of the shallow meridional overturning cell in the southern tropical Indian Ocean -A case study for 1990s-h

10:10-10:30

P. N. Vinayachandran (Indian Institute of Science, India)

gModulation of the Indian summer monsoon by river runoffh

10:30-10:50

Takeshi Izumo (University of Tokyo)

gInfluence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on following El Ni?o: Mechanisms and interdecadal stabilityh

10:50-11:10

Takaaki Yokoi (University of Tokyo)

gSeasonal and interannual variations of the SST above the Seychelles Domeh

11:10-11:30

Motoki Nagura (JAMSTEC)

gOn the Indonesian throughflow simulated by the SINTEX-F2 coupled modelh

11:30-11:50

Discussions

11:50-13:10 Lunch

Session 5: Tropical climate variability and teleconnections (Chair: Vinayachandran)

13:10-13:30

Marcelo Barreiro (Universidad de la Republica-Uruguay, Uruguay)

gInfluence of ENSO and the Atlantic ocean on climate predictability over southeastern South Americah

13:30-13:50

Hengyi Weng (IAP, China)

gAnomalous summer climate in China influenced by the tropical Indo-Pacific Oceansh

13:50-14:10

Pascal Oettli (The University of Tokyo)

gSpatio-temporal structures of monthly OLR over the tropical region as revealed by a self-organizing maph

14:10-14:30

Chaoxia Yuan (The University of Tokyo)

gDiagnostic analyses of the IOD influence on the Tibetan Plateau snow cover in early winterh

14:30-14:50

Discussions

14:50-15:10 Coffee Break

Session 6: Improving coupled models (Chair: Behera)

15:10-15:30

Francois Engelbrecht (CSIR, South Africa)

gAMIP-style simulations of inter-annual climate variability over southern Africa using CCAMh

15:30-15:50

Ingo Richter (JAMSTEC)

gGCM biases in the tropical Atlantic and their relation to surface wind stress and terrestrial precipitationh

15:50-16:10

Tomoki Tozuka (The University of Tokyo)

gKey factors in simulating the equatorial Atlantic zonal SST gradient in UTCMh

16:10-16:30

Wataru Sasaki (JAMSTEC)

gRole of small vertical scale structure of velocity in the thermocline in the equatorial Pacifich

16:30-16:50

Discussions

16:50-17:00

Swadhin K. Behera (JAMSTEC)

gConcluding Remarksh

17:00 Adjourn