SATREPS Symposium on Simulation and Prediction of Climate Modes Influencing the Southern African Region
Date: March 17-18, 2011March 17
(Sanjo Conference Hall)
Registration: 9:40-10:00
Opening Session (Chair: Tozuka)
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10:00-10:10 |
Toshio Yamagata (JAMSTEC/University of Tokyo) “Opening Address” |
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10:10-10:30 |
Swadhin K. Behera (JAMSTEC) “An overview of South African climate variability and its predictability” |
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10:30-10:50 |
Hannes Rautenbach (University of Pretoria, South Africa) “Extreme rainfall and flooding in South Africa during the 2010-2011 austral summer season” |
Session 1: Downscaling (Chair: Rautenbach)
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10:50-11:10 |
Keiko Takahashi (JAMSTEC) “Downscaling simulations in South Africa with ultra high resolution MSSG” |
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11:10-11:30 |
Chris Lennard (University of Cape Town, South Africa) “The development of a seasonal attribution forecast for Africa and the world” |
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11:30-11:50 |
Benjamin Pohl (CRC, France) “Southern African climate variability analyzed through statistical and numerical downscaling” |
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11:50-12:10 |
Discussions |
12:10-12:20 Photo session
12:20-13:30 Lunch
Session 1 (continued): Downscaling (Chair: Rautenbach)
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13:30-13:50 |
J. Venkata Ratnam (JAMSTEC) “Impact of using a simple mixed layer ocean model in WRF on the simulation of climate over Southern Africa” |
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13:50-14:10 |
Satyaban B. Ratna (JAMSTEC) “Simulation of tropical temperate trough over southern Africa using WRF model” |
Session 2: Seasonal prediction (Chair: Masumoto)
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14:10-14:30 |
Antonio Navarra (INGV, Italy) “State of the art in long-range climate predictability and its applicability” |
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14:30-14:50 |
Jing-Jia Luo (JAMSTEC) “Predictions of the ENSO/IOD and beyond using SINTEX-F1” |
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14:50-15:10 |
Simon Mason (IRI, USA) “Seasonal prediction of heavy rainfall events over South Africa” |
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15:10-15:30 |
Discussions |
15:30-15:50 Coffee Break
Session 3: Climate variability around South Africa
(Chair: Mason)
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15:50-16:10 |
Babatunde Abiodun (University of Cape Town, South Africa) “How well do GCMs and re-analyses capture the links between South African rainfall and global SSTs” |
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16:10-16:30 |
Mototaka Nakamura (JAMSTEC) “Impacts of SST anomalies in the Agulhas Current System on the climate variations in the southern Africa and its vicinity” |
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16:30-16:50 |
Yushi Morioka (The University of Tokyo) “Generation mechanism of the subtropical dipole modes simulated in a coupled general circulation model” |
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16:50-17:10 |
Takahito Kataoka (The University of Tokyo) “The Indian Ocean subtropical dipole mode simulated in the CMIP3 models” |
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17:10-17:30 |
Discussions |
18:00-20:00 Reception (Restaurant in Sanjo Conference Hall)
March 18
(AM: Sanjo Conference Hall ; PM: Science Building #1 Room 710)
Session 4: Indian Ocean climate variability (Chair: Navarra)
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9:50-10:10 |
Yukio Masumoto (JAMSTEC) “Decadal variation of the shallow meridional overturning cell in the southern tropical Indian Ocean -A case study for 1990s-” |
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10:10-10:30 |
P. N. Vinayachandran (Indian Institute of Science, India) “Modulation of the Indian summer monsoon by river runoff” |
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10:30-10:50 |
Takeshi Izumo (University of Tokyo) “Influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on following El Ni?o: Mechanisms and interdecadal stability” |
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10:50-11:10 |
Takaaki Yokoi (University of Tokyo) “Seasonal and interannual variations of the SST above the Seychelles Dome” |
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11:10-11:30 |
Motoki Nagura (JAMSTEC) “On the Indonesian throughflow simulated by the SINTEX-F2 coupled model” |
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11:30-11:50 |
Discussions |
11:50-13:10 Lunch
Session 5: Tropical climate variability and teleconnections (Chair: Vinayachandran)
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13:10-13:30 |
Marcelo Barreiro (Universidad de la Republica-Uruguay, Uruguay) “Influence of ENSO and the Atlantic ocean on climate predictability over southeastern South America” |
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13:30-13:50 |
Hengyi Weng (IAP, China) “Anomalous summer climate in China influenced by the tropical Indo-Pacific Oceans” |
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13:50-14:10 |
Pascal Oettli (The University of Tokyo) “Spatio-temporal structures of monthly OLR over the tropical region as revealed by a self-organizing map” |
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14:10-14:30 |
Chaoxia Yuan (The University of Tokyo) “Diagnostic analyses of the IOD influence on the Tibetan Plateau snow cover in early winter” |
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14:30-14:50 |
Discussions |
14:50-15:10 Coffee Break
Session 6: Improving coupled models (Chair: Behera)
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15:10-15:30 |
Francois Engelbrecht (CSIR, South Africa) “AMIP-style simulations of inter-annual climate variability over southern Africa using CCAM” |
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15:30-15:50 |
Ingo Richter (JAMSTEC) “GCM biases in the tropical Atlantic and their relation to surface wind stress and terrestrial precipitation” |
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15:50-16:10 |
Tomoki Tozuka (The University of Tokyo) “Key factors in simulating the equatorial Atlantic zonal SST gradient in UTCM” |
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16:10-16:30 |
Wataru Sasaki (JAMSTEC) “Role of small vertical scale structure of velocity in the thermocline in the equatorial Pacific” |
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16:30-16:50 |
Discussions |
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16:50-17:00 |
Swadhin K. Behera (JAMSTEC) “Concluding Remarks” |
17:00 Adjourn